BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Morgan St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 348 Overall: (14-16) Overall Strength =    9.84
Conference: Mid-Eastern Record: (10-5) | District: 1-02 Record: (11-14)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  20.48  70  87    1  75 (16-18) Georgetown             11.41 *  -28.41                      
 2 11-06-2025 Home    W      -8.04 101  77   ZZ 299 ( 0- 3) Central Penn          -17.11 *   41.11                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    L   *  19.07  79  81    1 210 (24- 9) UMBC                   10.01    -12.01                      
 4 11-15-2025 Away    L       7.01  72  86   ZZ  12 (18-17) Mercyhurst             -2.06    -11.94                      
 5 11-18-2025 Home    L   *   9.40  73  79    1 284 (11-19) NC A&T                  0.34     -6.34                      
 6 11-21-2025 Away    L   *  -8.60  56  88    1 247 (12-21) Old Dominion          -17.67    -14.33                      
 7 11-25-2025 Home    L   *  14.97  66  71    1 222 (17-16) Drexel                  5.91    -10.91                      
 8 12-06-2025 Home    L   *  12.04  80  84    1 273 (16-16) Longwood                2.97     -6.97                      
 9 12-09-2025 Away    L   *  -7.35  49  92    1 100 (16-16) DePaul                -16.42 *  -26.58                      
10 12-13-2025 Home    W   *  17.27  81  73    1 333 ( 8-22) Niagara                 8.20     -0.20                      
11 12-19-2025 Away    L      -8.11  50  97    1  71 (22-12) California            -17.18 *  -29.82                      
12 12-21-2025 Away    L   *   2.93  64  94    1 117 (17-16) San Francisco          -6.14    -23.86                      
13 12-23-2025 Away    L   *   3.40  56  83    1 156 (15-17) Loy Marymount          -5.67    -21.33                      
14 12-30-2025 Home    W      16.38  92  55   ZZ 220 ( 0- 2) PSU-Brandywine          7.31 *   29.69                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    L * *  -2.68  49  66    1 342 ( 9-23) MD E Shore            -11.75     -5.25                      
16 01-10-2026 Home    W * *   8.70  72  67    1 352 (10-22) S Carolina St          -0.36      5.36                      
17 01-12-2026 Home    L * *  -2.49  78  89    1 346 (14-18) NC Central            -11.56      0.56                      
18 01-17-2026 Away    W * *   9.47  80  79    1 355 ( 8-23) Delaware St             0.40      0.60                      
19 01-20-2026 Home    W      22.60 128  53   ZZ 358 ( 0-10) VA-Lynchburg           13.53 *   61.47                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  28.04  78  77    1 201 (24-11) Howard                 18.97    -17.97                      
21 01-26-2026 Away    W * *  19.66  79  78    1 308 (15-17) Norfolk St             10.59     -9.59                      
22 01-31-2026 Away    W * *  15.82  89  80    1 358 ( 7-24) Coppin St               6.75      2.25                      
23 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  16.92  79  71    1 342 ( 9-23) MD E Shore              7.85      0.15                      
24 02-16-2026 Away    L * *   9.91  76  80    1 346 (14-18) NC Central              0.84     -4.84                      
25 02-21-2026 Home    W * *  17.07  82  68    1 355 ( 8-23) Delaware St             8.00      6.00                      
26 02-25-2026 Away    W * *  16.11  90  83    1 352 (10-22) S Carolina St           7.04     -0.04                      
27 02-28-2026 Home    L * *  -3.36  59  84    1 201 (24-11) Howard                -12.43    -12.57                      
28 03-02-2026 Home    W * *  19.26  90  84    1 308 (15-17) Norfolk St             10.19     -4.19                      
29 03-05-2026 Home    W * *   5.42  70  66    1 358 ( 7-24) Coppin St              -3.65      7.65                      
30 03-11-2026 Neutral L * *   0.77  70  75 1  1 355 ( 8-23) Delaware St            -8.30      3.30                      
      Averages               9.07  75.3 78.2

Best game:   28.04 = 1 point win over Howard
Worst game:  -8.60 = 32 point loss to Old Dominion
Team stdev:  10.38